GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Atlanta United FC
Sat, 02 May · 23:30
Major League Soccer
CF Montreal
TOP PICK
Atlanta United FC
PROJECTED: 1-1
42%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
42%
Atlanta Un...
28%
Draw
30%
CF Montrea...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
37% 31% 32%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
48% 19% 33%
DL 25% WEIGHT
42% 28% 30%
FINAL BLEND
42% 28% 30%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.05 vs 0.95
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
54%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
58%
BTTS NO
42%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 30% 3.31 -0.6%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 58% 1.69 -1.9%
Draw
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 3.47 -3.0%
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 54% 1.75 -5.4%
Both Teams Score — YES
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 58% 1.61 -6.5%
HOME or Draw (1X)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 70% 1.31 -8.3%
HOME or AWAY (12)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.27 -8.3%
HOME to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 42% 2.12 -10.9%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
· Evenly matched on quality; Montreal's road form edge and Atlanta's home struggles justify slight away lean.
· Atlanta home form dire (LLDDL) vs Montreal road form respectable (WWLDL)
· Nearly identical season points (7 vs 9) and goal differential — no quality gap
· Both sides show scoring ability (Atlanta 9 GF, Montreal 13 GF) — expect goals
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Prince Owusu
AWY · F · 6g/10
55%
2
Aleksey Miranchuk
HOM · F · 5g/10
46%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
4
Atlanta Un...
3
Draw
3
CF Montrea...
09 Aug 1-1
23 Feb 3-2
22 Oct 2-2
02 Oct 1-2
13 Jul 1-0
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
← Back to match