GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Toronto FC
Sat, 02 May · 17:00
Major League Soccer
San Jose Earthquakes
TOP PICK
San Jose Earthquakes
PROJECTED: 1-2
48%
CONF 58
WIN PROBABILITY
28%
Toronto FC
24%
Draw
48%
San Jose E...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
16% 20% 64%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
31% 14% 55%
DL 25% WEIGHT
28% 24% 48%
FINAL BLEND
28% 24% 48%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 2
xG 0.92 vs 2.08
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 0-2
0.0%
2 0-1
0.0%
3 1-2
0.0%
4 1-1
0.0%
5 0-3
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
62%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
58%
BTTS NO
42%
💎 VALUE BETS
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.59 -1.4%
AWAY to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 2.03 -2.8%
HOME or AWAY (12)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 76% 1.24 -5.4%
HOME to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 3.36 -6.0%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.30 -6.4%
HOME or Draw (1X)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 1.76 -8.5%
Draw
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 24% 3.67 -11.9%
Both Teams Score — YES
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 58% 1.51 -12.7%
CONTEXT
· San Jose's league-leading form and dominant table position override Toronto's home venue; back away win.
· San Jose 1st (27 pts, +19 GD) vs Toronto 6th (13 pts, -2 GD) — massive quality gap
· Toronto home form dire (LDDDL) while San Jose road record strong (WWLLL mixed, but team on 4-win streak)
· San Jose xG differential implies sustained dominance; Toronto struggling to score and defend
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Preston Judd
AWY · F · 11g/15
75%
2
Ousseni Bouda
AWY · M · 5g/11
25%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Toronto FC
4
Draw
3
San Jose E...
26 Mar 0-0
09 Jul 2-2
29 Feb 2-2
26 May 1-2
19 Aug 1-1
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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