⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Calvo Sotelo
PROJECTED: 2-0
62%
CONF 54
WIN PROBABILITY
62%
Calvo Sote...
28%
Draw
10%
Cazalegas
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
72%
18%
10%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
73%
19%
9%
DL
25% WEIGHT
62%
28%
10%
FINAL BLEND
62%
28%
10%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 0
xG 2.21 vs 0.69
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
2-0
0.0%
2
1-0
0.0%
3
3-0
0.0%
4
2-1
0.0%
5
1-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
58%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
22%
BTTS NO
78%
CONTEXT
·
Early 0-0 but Calvo Sotelo's strong home record and H2H dominance favours home win.
·
Calvo Sotelo unbeaten at home (WW) vs Cazalegas poor away form (LL)
·
H2H strongly favours home (4 of last 5 meetings won by Calvo Sotelo)
·
Only 12 minutes played; early scoreline neutral but form/history favour home
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
4
Calvo Sote...
1
Draw
1
Cazalegas
14 Dec
1-2
19 Jan
0-1
08 Sep
3-0
10 Mar
1-0
22 Oct
2-0
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.