GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Villanueva Pardillo
Sun, 26 Apr · 16:00
Tercera División RFEF -...
SS Reyes II
TOP PICK
Villanueva Pardillo
PROJECTED: 1-1
38%
CONF 28
WIN PROBABILITY
38%
Villanueva...
34%
Draw
28%
SS Reyes I...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
37% 31% 33%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
43% 25% 31%
DL 25% WEIGHT
38% 34% 28%
FINAL BLEND
38% 34% 28%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.04 vs 0.96
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
45%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
52%
BTTS NO
48%
CONTEXT
· Very limited data — Tercera División obscurity + only 4 minutes played + no season stats. Treat as weak baseline.
· Match only 4 minutes in — scoreline and momentum unclear; early prediction has high variance
· H2H shows 0-0 then 2-0 SS Reyes (split record); recent form unavailable for context
· No season stats, no standing position, no injury detail — data gap is severe
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
1
Villanueva...
0
Draw
1
SS Reyes I...
21 Dec 2-0
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
← Back to match