GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Lleida Esportiu
Sun, 26 Apr · 16:00
Tercera División RFEF -...
Vilassar Mar
TOP PICK
Draw
PROJECTED: 1-1
38%
CONF 38
WIN PROBABILITY
28%
Lleida Esp...
38%
Draw
34%
Vilassar M...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
33% 31% 36%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
31% 30% 39%
DL 25% WEIGHT
28% 38% 34%
FINAL BLEND
28% 38% 34%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 0.98 vs 1.02
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 0-1
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 1-0
0.0%
5 0-2
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
42%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
58%
BTTS NO
42%
CONTEXT
· Vilassar Mar scored at 30'; Lleida chasing. Data extremely thin — treat as weak heuristic only.
· Vilassar Mar lead 1-0 at 30' (live) — strong immediate momentum
· H2H: Vilassar won 3-0 in January; dominance pattern vs this opponent
· Tercera División data unavailable — low confidence inherent to league tier
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
0
Lleida Esp...
0
Draw
2
Vilassar M...
14 Jan 3-0
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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