GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Aretxabaleta
Sun, 26 Apr · 14:30
Tercera División RFEF -...
Real Sociedad III
TOP PICK
Real Sociedad III
PROJECTED: 2-5
98%
CONF 92
WIN PROBABILITY
1%
Aretxabale...
1%
Draw
98%
Real Socie...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
8% 9% 82%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
1% 1% 98%
DL 25% WEIGHT
1% 1% 98%
FINAL BLEND
1% 1% 98%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 5
xG 1.61 vs 4.50
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-4
0.0%
2 1-5
0.0%
3 1-3
0.0%
4 2-4
0.0%
5 2-5
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
95%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
100%
BTTS NO
0%
CONTEXT
· Real Sociedad III 3 goals up at 90'; match is effectively over.
· 3-goal deficit with match at 90' — mathematically no time for comeback
· Real Sociedad III in complete control throughout second half
· Both teams scoring confirmed — BTTS locked in
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
0
Aretxabale...
0
Draw
2
Real Socie...
20 Dec 2-0
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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