TOP PICK
CD Lugo B
PROJECTED: 0-2
89%
CONF 78
WIN PROBABILITY
3%
Alondras
8%
Draw
89%
CD Lugo B
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
7%
15%
77%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
1%
1%
98%
DL
25% WEIGHT
3%
8%
89%
FINAL BLEND
3%
8%
89%
PREDICTED SCORE
0 - 2
xG 0.56 vs 2.34
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
0-2
0.0%
2
0-1
0.0%
3
0-3
0.0%
4
1-2
0.0%
5
1-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
15%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
5%
BTTS NO
95%
CONTEXT
·
CD Lugo B 2-0 up at HT with 45 min remaining; Alondras would need dramatic shift to mount comeback.
·
2-goal lead at halftime — only 45 min left for Alondras to equalize
·
No recent form/xG data available; relying on current scoreline dominance
·
Alondras scoreless in first half; Lugo B clean sheet suggests defensive control
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Alondras
2
Draw
5
CD Lugo B
21 Dec
2-1
12 Apr
2-2
01 Dec
3-2
23 Mar
2-0
05 Nov
1-2
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.