⚡ AI
1-4 · Qarabag 97%
· Over 2.5 92%
88
⚡ KEY EVENTS
9'
⚽
M. Qurbanlı
Normal Goal
14'
🟨
Matheus Silva
Yellow Card
21'
⚽
E. Badalov
Normal Goal
32'
⚽
M. Qurbanlı
Normal Goal
37'
⚽
Joni Montiel
Normal Goal
60'
🟨
T. Bayramov
Yellow Card
60'
🟨
L. Ortiz
Yellow Card
61'
🔄
I. Mathew
Substitution
9'
⚽
M. Qurbanlı
Normal Goal
14'
🟨
Matheus Silva
Yellow Card
21'
⚽
E. Badalov
Normal Goal
32'
⚽
M. Qurbanlı
Normal Goal
37'
⚽
Joni Montiel
Normal Goal
60'
🟨
T. Bayramov
Yellow Card
60'
🟨
L. Ortiz
Yellow Card
61'
🔄
I. Mathew
Substitution 1
61'
🔄
L. Ortiz
Substitution 2
68'
⚽
Leandro Andrade
Normal Goal
72'
🔄
I. Faraj
Substitution 3
72'
🔄
F. Vargas
Substitution 4
76'
🔄
Pedro Bicalho
Substitution 1
76'
🔄
M. Qurbanlı
Substitution 2
78'
🔄
E. Mahmudov
Substitution 5
83'
🟨
J. Rezabala
Yellow Card
90'+3
⚽
Normal Goal
Match statistics unavailable.
Lineups not yet announced
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME · 10 Recent meetings
0
Neftchi Baku
0
D Draws
10
Qarabag
RECENT MEETINGS
⚡ AI TOP PICK
Qarabag
PROJECTED: 1-4
97%
CONF 88
WIN PROBABILITY
1%
Neftchi Ba...
2%
Draw
97%
Qarabag
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
| MODEL | Neftch... | D | Qaraba... |
|---|---|---|---|
| POISSON | 2% | 5% | 94% |
| ELO | 1% | 1% | 98% |
| DL | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| FINAL | 1% | 2% | 97% |
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 4
📊 OVER / UNDER
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
92%
OVER 3.5
—
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
95%
YES
5%
NO
💡 KEY FACTORS
Qarabag 3-goal lead with 19 minutes remaining — away win is nearly certain.
3-goal deficit at minute 71 with <20 min left — statistically <1% comeback rate
Qarabag dominant throughout; no recent momentum swing for Neftchi
Away team has controlled match; home team's single goal insufficient to trigger realistic comeback
OVER / UNDER · GOALS
1.5
7 bk
OVER
1.16
UNDER
4.31
2.5
10 bk
OVER
1.59
UNDER
2.19
3.5
8 bk
OVER
2.46
UNDER
1.45
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
YES
1.51
7 bk
NO
2.31
7 bk
ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25
1.33 5bk
Away -0.5
1.30 1bk
Away -0.75
1.16 3bk
Away -1
1.08 3bk
Away -1.25
1.07 3bk
Away -1.5
1.05 3bk
🏟 STADIUM
Neftçi Arena
Baku · 15,000 seats
⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
TBA
~24h before
NEF... MGR
—
unannounced
QAR... MGR
—
unannounced
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
Neftchi Ba... · 0 OUT
No injuries reported
Qarabag · 13 OUT
A. Ramazanov
· Cruciate lig...
Joni Montiel
· Inactive
N. Axundzadə
· Injury
A. Rzayev
· Inactive
+ 9 more
KICK-OFFSun, 26 Apr · 15:00
RoundRegular Season - 29
Season2025
SURFACEGrass
CAPACITY15,000
🏟
Neftçi Arena
Baku · 15,000