⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Persebaya Surabaya
PROJECTED: 2-1
60%
CONF 58
WIN PROBABILITY
60%
Persebaya...
24%
Draw
16%
Persik Ked...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
68%
19%
13%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
70%
14%
16%
DL
25% WEIGHT
60%
24%
16%
FINAL BLEND
60%
24%
16%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
xG 2.18 vs 0.82
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
2-0
0.0%
2
1-0
0.0%
3
2-1
0.0%
4
1-1
0.0%
5
3-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
62%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
56%
BTTS NO
44%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
CONTEXT
·
Persebaya clear home favourites on quality gap (4th vs 12th, +21 GD) but poor home form (WLWDW) and Persik's road resilience (1W last 5) limit edge.
·
League position gap (4th vs 12th, +16 pts) and GD (+21) favour home decisively
·
Persebaya home form underwhelming (WLWDW) despite overall form strong (WDWWW)
·
Persik on road is weak (WLLLL) — only 1W in last 5 away games
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Persebaya...
4
Draw
2
Persik Ked...
07 Nov
1-1
05 May
3-3
11 Dec
4-1
28 Apr
2-1
27 Oct
4-0
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.