GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Persepam Madura Utd
Sat, 23 May · 09:00
Liga 1
PSM Makassar
TOP PICK
Persepam Madura Utd
PROJECTED: 1-1
48%
CONF 38
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
Persepam M...
28%
Draw
24%
PSM Makass...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
40% 31% 30%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
55% 19% 26%
DL 25% WEIGHT
48% 28% 24%
FINAL BLEND
48% 28% 24%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.10 vs 0.90
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
58%
BTTS NO
42%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 24% 5.82 +39.7%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 2.51 +30.3%
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 4.22 +18.1%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 58% 1.73 +0.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 1.61 -16.4%
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.16 -16.5%
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 76% 1.09 -16.8%
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 1.44 -31.1%
CONTEXT
· Thin data on both teams; market odds suggest home edge but poor home form (WLLLW) and weak away form (LLLLD) signal a tight, low-quality match.
· Persepam home form WLLLW is poor (1W in 5); PSM away form LLLLD is terrible (0W in 5)
· Both teams bottom-half table position (14th/15th, 34/32 pts) with weak goal differential
· Incomplete season stats and no H2H context limit confidence; market odds (Home 53%) anchor but form data suggests overcorrection
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Persepam M...
2
Draw
4
PSM Makass...
02 Nov 1-1
02 Mar 1-3
18 Oct 2-0
21 Apr 2-0
08 Oct 0-2
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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