GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Arema FC
Fri, 22 May · 08:30
Liga 1
PSIM Yogyakarta
TOP PICK
Arema FC
PROJECTED: 2-1
78%
CONF 76
WIN PROBABILITY
78%
Arema FC
15%
Draw
7%
PSIM Yogya...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
73% 17% 10%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
92% 4% 4%
DL 25% WEIGHT
78% 15% 7%
FINAL BLEND
78% 15% 7%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
xG 2.28 vs 0.72
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 2-0
0.0%
2 1-0
0.0%
3 3-0
0.0%
4 2-1
0.0%
5 1-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
72%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
78%
BTTS NO
22%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 78% 1.98 +54.1%
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 78% 1.55 +21.0%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 93% 1.27 +18.0%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.64 +17.9%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 85% 1.23 +4.4%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 15% 3.53 -47.1%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 22% 1.73 -61.9%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 7% 3.21 -77.5%
CONTEXT
· Arema leading 2–1 with 33 minutes left; PSIM's substitutions suggest attacking intent but momentum favours the home side.
· 1-goal lead past minute 57 with 33 min remaining — typical win-rate ~75–80%
· Arema's home form (WLWWL) mixed but currently dominant; PSIM's road form (LLWLW) weak overall
· PSIM made 3 substitutions by min 76 (attacking shift) but no breakthrough yet
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
1
Arema FC
1
Draw
0
PSIM Yogya...
16 Aug 1-1
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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