⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Persebaya Surabaya
PROJECTED: 1-2
55%
CONF 62
WIN PROBABILITY
24%
Semen Pada...
21%
Draw
55%
Persebaya...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
14%
20%
66%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
26%
11%
64%
DL
25% WEIGHT
24%
21%
55%
FINAL BLEND
24%
21%
55%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 2
xG 0.88 vs 2.12
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
0-2
0.0%
2
0-1
0.0%
3
1-2
0.0%
4
1-1
0.0%
5
0-3
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
51%
BTTS NO
49%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
SEMEN PADANG FACTORS
+25%
League gulf: Persebaya 6th (52 pts) vs Semen Padang 17th (20 pts) — 32-point gap
CONTEXT
·
Persebaya strong away form and massive league gap; back away win at ~1.79 odds.
·
Away form DWWWD vs home form LLLLW (Padang in relegation fight, one win in 5)
·
Bookmaker odds (Away 55.9%) slightly undervalue Persebaya quality differential
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
27%
Mihailo Perović
AWY · F · 0g/1
2
27%
Guillermo
HOM · F · 0g/1
3
15%
Francisco Rivera
AWY · M · 0g/1
4
15%
Bruno
AWY · M · 0g/1
5
15%
Riyan Ardiansyah
AWY · M · 0g/1
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
0
Semen Pada...
4
Draw
1
Persebaya...
19 Sep
1-0
11 May
1-1
15 Dec
0-0
28 Nov
1-1
28 Jul
0-0
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.