GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Bhayangkara FC
Mon, 11 May · 12:00
Liga 1
Persepam Madura Utd
TOP PICK
Bhayangkara FC
PROJECTED: 2-1
88%
CONF 81
WIN PROBABILITY
88%
Bhayangkar...
9%
Draw
3%
Persepam M...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
75% 16% 9%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
98% 1% 1%
DL 25% WEIGHT
88% 9% 3%
FINAL BLEND
88% 9% 3%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
xG 2.34 vs 0.66
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 2-0
0.0%
2 1-0
0.0%
3 3-0
0.0%
4 2-1
0.0%
5 1-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
72%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
78%
BTTS NO
22%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 88% 2.18 +92.0%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 97% 1.33 +28.7%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.74 +25.4%
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 78% 1.60 +24.5%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 91% 1.26 +14.7%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 9% 3.30 -70.3%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 12% 1.57 -81.1%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 3% 2.90 -91.3%
CONTEXT
· Bhayangkara leading 2-1 with 18 minutes left; strong position to hold on despite away team's aggressive substitutions.
· 1-goal lead past 70' is high-confidence home hold (statistically ~85-90% win rate)
· Bhayangkara scored twice in 4 minutes (62'-66'), showing attacking momentum and control
· Persepam's away form weak (WWWLW overall, but trailing with limited time) — low comeback threat
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
5
Bhayangkar...
2
Draw
1
Persepam M...
12 Sep 0-0
01 Mar 3-2
25 Aug 0-0
20 Feb 4-0
08 Sep 1-0
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
← Back to match