GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Arema FC
Sat, 09 May · 08:30
Liga 1
PSM Makassar
TOP PICK
Arema FC
PROJECTED: 1-1
42%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
42%
Arema FC
28%
Draw
30%
PSM Makass...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
37% 31% 32%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
48% 19% 33%
DL 25% WEIGHT
42% 28% 30%
FINAL BLEND
42% 28% 30%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.05 vs 0.95
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
58%
BTTS NO
42%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 70% 1.33 -7.1%
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 58% 1.59 -7.7%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 42% 2.19 -7.9%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 3.28 -8.2%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 58% 1.57 -8.7%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.27 -8.8%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 1.73 -10.0%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 30% 2.94 -11.8%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
· Evenly matched mid-table sides; bookmaker odds overvalue home win — expect tight, low-scoring draw or 1-1.
· Arema home form weak (LWWLL) despite home advantage — only 1W in last 5 at Kanjuruhan
· PSM road form abysmal (LLDDD) but PSM still 3 pts back in table — limited downside
· Season GD and xG nearly identical (Arema -2 GD, PSM -4 GD; quality gap minimal)
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Joel Vinicius Silva Dos Anjos
HOM · F · 0g/1
27%
2
Dalberto
HOM · F · 0g/1
27%
3
Gabriel Silva
HOM · M · 0g/1
15%
4
Arkhan Fikri
HOM · M · 0g/1
15%
5
Matheus Blade
HOM · M · 0g/1
15%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
4
Arema FC
2
Draw
4
PSM Makass...
19 Oct 1-2
10 Feb 1-1
15 Sep 0-1
25 Apr 3-2
20 Oct 3-0
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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