GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Semen Padang
Fri, 08 May · 08:30
Liga 1
Persik Kediri
TOP PICK
Persik Kediri
PROJECTED: 1-2
46%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
28%
Semen Pada...
26%
Draw
46%
Persik Ked...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
16% 20% 64%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
31% 16% 53%
DL 25% WEIGHT
28% 26% 46%
FINAL BLEND
28% 26% 46%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 2
xG 0.93 vs 2.07
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 0-2
0.0%
2 0-1
0.0%
3 1-2
0.0%
4 1-1
0.0%
5 0-3
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
54%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
58%
BTTS NO
42%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 3.46 -3.1%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 54% 1.78 -3.7%
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 58% 1.60 -7.1%
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 74% 1.24 -8.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 54% 1.70 -8.5%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 26% 3.46 -10.0%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.24 -10.6%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 46% 1.92 -11.7%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
SEMEN PADANG FACTORS
+30% Away team favoured despite poor road form; Semen Padang's 5-match losing streak and massive defensive gap (-30 GD) trump home advantage.
+25% Semen Padang in freefall: LLLLL recent, only 20 pts, -30 GD (worst in league)
PERSIK KEDIRI FACTORS
+20% Persik Kediri +16 pts and better goal differential despite poor away form (LLLLW)
CONTEXT
· Quality gap (Persik 12th, Semen 17th) outweighs home-venue edge
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Guillermo
HOM · F · 0g/1
24%
2
Rendy Sanjaya
AWY · F · 0g/1
24%
3
José Enrique
AWY · F · 0g/1
24%
4
Kianz Froese
HOM · M · 0g/1
13%
5
Ripal Wahyudi
HOM · M · 0g/1
13%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
0
Semen Pada...
1
Draw
2
Persik Ked...
27 Nov 2-1
18 May 1-1
21 Dec 3-1
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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