GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Persepam Madura Utd
Tue, 05 May · 08:30
Liga 1
Bali United
TOP PICK
Bali United
PROJECTED: 1-2
42%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
32%
Persepam M...
26%
Draw
42%
Bali Unite...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
17% 21% 62%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
36% 16% 48%
DL 25% WEIGHT
32% 26% 42%
FINAL BLEND
32% 26% 42%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 2
xG 0.96 vs 2.04
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 0-2
0.0%
2 0-1
0.0%
3 1-2
0.0%
4 1-1
0.0%
5 0-3
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
58%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
64%
BTTS NO
36%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 42% 2.73 +14.6%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 68% 1.57 +6.8%
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 64% 1.48 -5.4%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 26% 3.58 -7.0%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 58% 1.57 -8.7%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 74% 1.22 -9.5%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 58% 1.37 -20.8%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 32% 2.20 -29.7%
BALI UNITED FACTORS
+30% Bali United away form (WWDWW) and league position (8th, +8 GD) outweigh Persepam's home venue; expect away win or draw.
+25% Bali United 3-league-position ahead with +8 GD vs Persepam's -18 GD
CONTEXT
· Bali away form WWDWW strong; Persepam home form LLWWL weak and erratic
· Bookmaker consensus (away 38%, draw 28%) undervalues Bali's superior quality; AI places away at 42%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
4
Persepam M...
1
Draw
5
Bali Unite...
30 Aug 1-0
17 May 0-2
20 Dec 2-1
23 Nov 1-2
15 Jul 2-1
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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