GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Persebaya Surabaya
Sat, 02 May · 08:30
Liga 1
PSBS Biak Numfor
TOP PICK
Persebaya Surabaya
PROJECTED: 2-0
78%
CONF 68
WIN PROBABILITY
78%
Persebaya...
14%
Draw
8%
PSBS Biak...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
75% 17% 8%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
92% 3% 6%
DL 25% WEIGHT
78% 14% 8%
FINAL BLEND
78% 14% 8%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 0
xG 2.28 vs 0.62
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 2-0
0.0%
2 1-0
0.0%
3 3-0
0.0%
4 2-1
0.0%
5 1-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
64%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
42%
BTTS NO
58%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 8% 30.89 +147.1%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
5 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 22% 9.04 +98.9%
Draw
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 14% 12.96 +81.5%
HOME or Draw (1X)
4 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 92% 1.01 -7.1%
Both Teams Score — YES
6 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 42% 2.18 -8.3%
HOME or AWAY (12)
4 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 86% 1.03 -11.4%
HOME to Win
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 78% 1.03 -19.6%
Over 2.5 Goals
6 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 64% 1.11 -29.1%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
· Persebaya heavy favourites; PSBS bottom-tier away form (LLDD) is the key signal — expect home win at moderate scoreline.
· Quality gulf: Persebaya 5th (48 pts, +10 GD) vs PSBS 18th (18 pts, -45 GD)
· PSBS away form LLDD is abysmal; Persebaya home form LWDWL mixed but still favours home
· Bookmaker home-win 92.6% seems overcooked; SportMonks 73.4% more aligned with form uncertainty
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Mihailo Perović
HOM · F · 0g/1
27%
2
Mohcine Hassan
AWY · F · 0g/1
27%
3
Francisco Rivera
HOM · M · 0g/1
15%
4
Riyan Ardiansyah
HOM · M · 0g/1
15%
5
Gali Freitas
HOM · M · 0g/1
15%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
2
Persebaya...
1
Draw
0
PSBS Biak...
24 Oct 0-0
15 Feb 1-0
22 Sep 0-1
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
← Back to match