⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Arema FC
PROJECTED: 1-1
48%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
Arema FC
26%
Draw
26%
Persebaya...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
39%
31%
30%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
55%
16%
28%
DL
25% WEIGHT
48%
26%
26%
FINAL BLEND
48%
26%
26%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.09 vs 0.91
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
58%
BTTS NO
42%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
·
Evenly matched mid-table sides; Persebaya's better league position offset by Arema's home form.
·
Persebaya 6pts higher in table (45 vs 39) but Arema won last home match
·
SportMonks home-win estimate (48.7%) matches market-implied (43.1%) after adjustment for bookmaker margin
·
Recent form thin (only 2-3 games per team) — high model uncertainty
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
24%
Joel Vinicius Silva Dos Anjos
HOM · F · 0g/1
2
24%
Dalberto
HOM · F · 0g/1
3
24%
Mihailo Perović
AWY · F · 0g/1
4
13%
Gabriel Silva
HOM · M · 0g/1
5
13%
Arkhan Fikri
HOM · M · 0g/1
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
0
Arema FC
3
Draw
6
Persebaya...
22 Nov
1-1
28 Apr
1-1
07 Dec
3-2
27 Mar
0-1
23 Sep
3-1
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.