⚡ AI
1-1 · Nacional 45%
48
📊 FULL-TIME STATS
5
SHOTS
13
3
ON TARGET
4
34
POSSESSION %
66
2
CORNERS
6
17
FOULS
11
4
YELLOW CARDS
3
0.93
XG
1.38
206
PASSES
389
⚡ KEY EVENTS
14'
🟨
R. Rocha
Yellow Card
25'
🟨
José Gomes
Yellow Card
32'
🟨
Witiness Quembo
Yellow Card
32'
🟨
Filipe Soares
Yellow Card
32'
🟨
Francisco Dias
Yellow Card
54'
🟨
Matheus Dias
Yellow Card
62'
🔄
Oumar Camara
Substitution
69'
⚽
Jesús Ramírez
Normal Goal
⭐ MAN OF THE MATCH
Jesús Ramírez
8.3
RATING
📋 PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH
Nacional
8.3
Jesús Ramírez
7.7
Pablo Messias Cardozo
7.6
Kaique
Guimaraes
Rica Rocha
7.2
Noah Saviolo
6.9
Thiago Balieiro
6.9
🏆 LEAGUE CONTEXT
8
Arouca
34
42
Arouca
34
42
9
Guimaraes
34
42
Guimaraes
34
42
10
Estoril
34
39
Estoril
34
39
13
Santa Clara
34
36
Santa Clara
34
36
14
Nacional
34
34
Nacional
34
34
15
Estrela
34
30
Estrela
34
30
14'
🟨
R. Rocha
Yellow Card
25'
🟨
José Gomes
Yellow Card
32'
🟨
Witiness Quembo
Yellow Card
32'
🟨
Filipe Soares
Yellow Card
32'
🟨
Francisco Dias
Yellow Card
54'
🟨
Matheus Dias
Yellow Card
62'
🔄
Oumar Camara
Substitution 1
69'
⚽
Jesús Ramírez
Normal Goal
70'
🔄
Witiness Quembo
Substitution 1
78'
⚽
Samu
Missed Penalty
80'
🔄
R. Rocha
Substitution 2
80'
🔄
Samu
Substitution 3
80'
🔄
Telmo Arcanjo
Substitution 4
84'
🟨
Martim Guedes
Yellow Card
86'
⚽
Jesús Ramírez
Penalty
90'+1
🔄
Chiheb Labidi
Substitution 2
90'+1
🔄
Filipe Soares
Substitution 3
90'+3
🔄
Paulinho Bóia
Substitution 4
5
SHOTS
13
3
ON TARGET
4
34
POSSESSION %
66
0.93
XG
1.38
2
CORNERS
6
17
FOULS
11
4
YELLOW CARDS
3
5
TOTAL SHOTS
13
3
ON TARGET
4
1
OFF TARGET
5
1
BLOCKED
4
3
INSIDE BOX
8
2
OUTSIDE BOX
5
0.93
XG
1.38
206
TOTAL PASSES
389
139
ACCURATE
323
67
ACCURACY %
83
34
POSSESSION %
66
2
CORNERS
6
1
OFFSIDES
2
5
GK SAVES
1
17
FOULS
11
4
YELLOW CARDS
3
0
RED CARDS
0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN
Nacional
4 sh
Jesús Ramí...
3/3
Filipe Soa...
0/1
Guimaraes
6 sh
Gustavo Si...
3/5
Rica Rocha
0/1
📈 xG RACE
0.93 – 1.38
Nacional
Guimaraes
Nacional
4-3-3
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME · 10 Recent meetings
3
Nacional
2
D Draws
5
Guimaraes
RECENT MEETINGS
⚡ AI TOP PICK
Nacional
PROJECTED: 1-1
45%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
45%
Nacional
28%
Draw
27%
Guimaraes
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
| MODEL | Nacion... | D | Guimar... |
|---|---|---|---|
| POISSON | 38% | 31% | 31% |
| ELO | 52% | 19% | 30% |
| DL | 45% | 28% | 27% |
| FINAL | 45% | 28% | 27% |
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
📊 OVER / UNDER
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
51%
OVER 3.5
—
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
59%
YES
41%
NO
💡 KEY FACTORS
Evenly matched teams with weak home form for Nacional; slight lean to draw or away value.
Nacional's home form (LWWLL) is inconsistent vs Guimaraes' stronger away discipline (LWDLL)
Guimaraes 8th (42 pts) outrank Nacional 14th (31 pts) by 11 points — quality edge away
Bookmaker favors home (48.3%) but Nacional's weak home record and form divergence suggest undervaluation of away draw
OVER / UNDER · GOALS
1.5
9 bk
OVER
1.26
UNDER
3.60
2.5
9 bk
OVER
1.86
UNDER
1.92
3.5
9 bk
OVER
3.09
UNDER
1.34
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
YES
1.69
9 bk
NO
2.06
9 bk
ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25
2.07 6bk
Away -0.5
1.77 7bk
Away -0.75
1.55 6bk
Away -1
1.35 6bk
Away -1.25
1.28 6bk
Away -1.5
1.24 7bk
🏟 STADIUM
Estádio da Madeira
Funchal
REFEREE
Ricardo Baixinho, Portugal
⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Ricardo Baixin...
—
NAC... MGR
Tiago Margarid...
head coach
GUI... MGR
Gil Lameiras
head coach
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
Nacional · 0 OUT
No injuries reported
Guimaraes · 0 OUT
No injuries reported
KICK-OFFSat, 16 May · 17:00
RoundRegular Season - 34
Season2025
🏟
Estádio da Madeira
Funchal