GOALSENSE
📊 FULL-TIME STATS
20 SHOTS 6
5 ON TARGET 3
41 POSSESSION % 59
9 CORNERS 0
17 FOULS 14
1 YELLOW CARDS 0
2.34 XG 0.61
278 PASSES 431
⚡ KEY EVENTS
35' Gaizka Larrazabal Normal Goal
52' Jalen Blesa Normal Goal
59' 🔄 Sebastián Pérez Substitution
59' 🔄 Dailon Rocha Livramento Substitution
63' 🔄 Dario Špikić Substitution
76' 🔄 Kevin Prieto Substitution
80' 🟨 Joao Marques Yellow Card
82' 🔄 Diogo Bezerra Substitution
⭐ MAN OF THE MATCH
Joao Marques
8.3
RATING
📋 PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH
Casa Pia
8.3 Joao Marques
7.3 David Sousa
7.2 Gaizka Larrazabal
Rio Ave
Jakub Brabec 7.3
Ennio Van Der Gouw 7.3
Diogo Bezerra 7.2
🏆 LEAGUE CONTEXT
11 Alverca 34 39
12 Rio Ave 34 36
13 Santa Clara 34 36
15 Estrela 34 30
16 Casa Pia 34 30
17 Tondela 34 28
35'
Gaizka Larrazabal
Normal Goal
52'
Jalen Blesa
Normal Goal
59' 🔄
Sebastián Pérez
Substitution 1
59' 🔄
Dailon Rocha Livramento
Substitution 2
63' 🔄
Dario Špikić
Substitution 1
76' 🔄
Kevin Prieto
Substitution 3
80' 🟨
Joao Marques
Yellow Card
82' 🔄
Diogo Bezerra
Substitution 2
86' 🔄
Pedro Rosas
Substitution 4
86' 🔄
Lawrence Ofori
Substitution 5
88' 🔄
Tamblé Monteiro
Substitution 3
88' 🔄
João Tomé
Substitution 4
20 SHOTS 6
5 ON TARGET 3
41 POSSESSION % 59
2.34 XG 0.61
9 CORNERS 0
17 FOULS 14
1 YELLOW CARDS 0
20 TOTAL SHOTS 6
5 ON TARGET 3
7 OFF TARGET 2
8 BLOCKED 1
12 INSIDE BOX 2
8 OUTSIDE BOX 4
2.34 XG 0.61
278 TOTAL PASSES 431
204 ACCURATE 349
73 ACCURACY % 81
41 POSSESSION % 59
9 CORNERS 0
3 OFFSIDES 0
2 GK SAVES 4
17 FOULS 14
1 YELLOW CARDS 0
0 RED CARDS 0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN
Casa Pia 6 sh
Gaizka Lar... 3/3
Joao Marqu... 0/2
David Sous... 0/1
Rio Ave 1 sh
Diogo Beze... 1/1
📈 xG RACE 2.340.61
2.3 0 0' 90'
Casa Pia Rio Ave
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME · 10 Recent meetings
2
Casa Pia
4
D Draws
4
Rio Ave
⚡ AI TOP PICK
Casa Pia
PROJECTED: 1-1
48%
CONF 45
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
Casa Pia
28%
Draw
24%
Rio Ave
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
MODEL Casa P... D Rio Av...
POISSON 40% 31% 30%
ELO 55% 19% 26%
DL 48% 28% 24%
FINAL 48% 28% 24%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
📊 OVER / UNDER
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
58%
YES
42%
NO
💡 KEY FACTORS
Early scoreless tie; Casa Pia home form weak (LLDDD) but Rio Ave road form mixed — slight edge to away team despite lower league position.
Casa Pia home form severely undermines home edge (LLDDD vs Rio Ave road LWWWL split)
Rio Ave 4 pts higher in table (13th vs 16th); 4 minutes in means form dominates
Bookmaker home-win 52.6% slightly high given Casa Pia's recent home struggles
OVER / UNDER · GOALS
1.5
OVER
1.27
UNDER
3.48
9 bk
2.5
OVER
1.89
UNDER
1.89
10 bk
3.5
OVER
3.22
UNDER
1.31
9 bk
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
YES
1.78
9 bk
NO
1.94
9 bk
ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.40 6bk
Away -0.5 2.06 6bk
Away -0.75 1.78 7bk
Away -1 1.53 7bk
Away -1.25 1.41 6bk
Away -1.5 1.33 8bk
🏟 STADIUM
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
Rio Maior · 8,500 seats
REFEREE
Helder Malheiro, Portugal
⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Helder Malheir...
CAS... MGR
Alvaro Pacheco
head coach
RIO... MGR
Sotiris Sylaid...
head coach
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
Casa Pia · 0 OUT

No injuries reported

Rio Ave · 0 OUT

No injuries reported

KICK-OFFSat, 16 May · 17:00
RoundRegular Season - 34
Season2025
SURFACEGrass
CAPACITY8,500
🏟
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
Rio Maior · 8,500