TOP PICK
SC Braga
PROJECTED: 2-1
62%
CONF 61
WIN PROBABILITY
62%
SC Braga
22%
Draw
16%
Estrela
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
69%
19%
13%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
72%
12%
16%
DL
25% WEIGHT
62%
22%
16%
FINAL BLEND
62%
22%
16%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
xG 2.18 vs 0.82
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
2-0
0.0%
2
1-0
0.0%
3
2-1
0.0%
4
1-1
0.0%
5
3-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
58%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
56%
BTTS NO
44%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
ESTRELA FACTORS
+30%
Braga strong at home vs struggling Estrela; expect comfortable win with both teams scoring.
+25%
Braga 4th place with +28 GD vs Estrela 15th with -18 GD — massive quality gap
+20%
Braga home form solid (DWDWD) vs Estrela away form abysmal (LLLLD)
+15%
Estrela's only recent point away was vs Braga (Jan 2026, 3-3 draw) — suggests some unpredictability
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
43%
Ricardo Horta
HOM · F · 14g/28
2
27%
Pau Víctor
HOM · F · 10g/32
3
16%
Jovane Cabral
AWY · F · 7g/26
4
15%
Rodrigo Zalazar
HOM · 16g/28
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
SC Braga
3
Draw
0
Estrela
03 Jan
3-3
19 Jan
0-1
11 Aug
1-1
02 Mar
3-0
28 Sep
2-4
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.