⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
GIL Vicente
PROJECTED: 1-0
52%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
52%
GIL Vicent...
32%
Draw
16%
Arouca
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
45%
31%
24%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
61%
23%
16%
DL
25% WEIGHT
52%
32%
16%
FINAL BLEND
52%
32%
16%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.14 vs 0.76
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
38%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
28%
BTTS NO
72%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
GIL VICENTE FACTORS
+15%
GIL Vicente home form only WLWDL — inconsistent; 2 HT substitutions suggest tactical adjustment needed
AROUCA FACTORS
+20%
Both teams scoreless so far; Arouca's dismal away record (LLWLL) and H2H pattern (4 of 5 draws/low scores) suggest tight match
CONTEXT
·
Goalless at 49'; GIL Vicente quality edge (6th vs 11th) but Arouca's away form (LLWLL) keeps this tight—lean home but draw very live.
·
GIL Vicente 6th (50 pts, +14 GD) vs Arouca 11th (36 pts, -21 GD) — clear quality gap
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
32%
Ivan Barbero
AWY · F · 8g/30
2
28%
Pablo Felipe
HOM · 10g/13
3
23%
Murilo
HOM · M · 11g/31
4
17%
Alfonso Trezza
AWY · M · 8g/31
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
0
GIL Vicent...
6
Draw
4
Arouca
28 Dec
2-2
10 May
1-1
27 Dec
1-1
26 Apr
2-2
16 Dec
3-0
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.