⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Moreirense
PROJECTED: 3-2
92%
CONF 88
WIN PROBABILITY
92%
Moreirense
6%
Draw
2%
Estrela
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
70%
14%
16%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
98%
1%
1%
DL
25% WEIGHT
92%
6%
2%
FINAL BLEND
92%
6%
2%
PREDICTED SCORE
3 - 2
xG 3.36 vs 1.64
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
3-1
0.0%
2
2-1
0.0%
3
4-1
0.0%
4
3-2
0.0%
5
2-2
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
94%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
96%
BTTS NO
4%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
MOREIRENSE FACTORS
+30%
Moreirense leading 3-2 at 90' with match effectively over; lock in home win.
+25%
3-2 scoreline at minute 90 (match end) — Moreirense holding lead into stoppage
ESTRELA FACTORS
+15%
Estrela on poor away form (LLLDL) and weak season (15th, -17 GD)
CONTEXT
·
Recent goal (90') extends Moreirense advantage with no time for Estrela comeback
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
55%
Guilherme Schettine
HOM · 9g/15
2
45%
Jovane Cabral
AWY · M · 7g/26
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Moreirense
4
Draw
1
Estrela
20 Dec
0-0
02 Mar
1-1
28 Sep
2-1
07 Apr
2-2
11 Nov
0-1
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.