TOP PICK
Guimaraes
PROJECTED: 2-0
98%
CONF 89
WIN PROBABILITY
98%
Guimaraes
1%
Draw
1%
Rio Ave
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
79%
15%
6%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
98%
1%
1%
DL
25% WEIGHT
98%
1%
1%
FINAL BLEND
98%
1%
1%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 0
xG 2.39 vs 0.51
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
2-0
0.0%
2
1-0
0.0%
3
3-0
0.0%
4
2-1
0.0%
5
4-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
15%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
5%
BTTS NO
95%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
33 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
16 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
33 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
33 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
·
2-goal lead at 90' minute — match is over. Lock in Guimaraes win.
·
2-goal lead in 90th minute with match ending; mathematical lock-in
·
Guimaraes' H2H dominance (recent record favours home side decisively)
·
Rio Ave unable to mount comeback in final seconds despite late substitution
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
38%
Clayton
AWY · 10g/19
2
36%
Samu
HOM · M · 7g/26
3
27%
André Luiz
AWY · 7g/19
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
4
Guimaraes
4
Draw
2
Rio Ave
13 Dec
0-1
27 Apr
3-0
16 Dec
2-2
04 May
2-1
23 Dec
1-0
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.