TOP PICK
Getafe
PROJECTED: 1-0
42%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
42%
Getafe
32%
Draw
26%
Osasuna
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
40%
32%
28%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
48%
23%
29%
DL
25% WEIGHT
42%
32%
26%
FINAL BLEND
42%
32%
26%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.06 vs 0.84
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
38%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
44%
BTTS NO
56%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
GETAFE FACTORS
+25%
Getafe home form (WLLWW) is 5 pts stronger than away form, counters overall slump
OSASUNA FACTORS
+20%
Osasuna on road: LLDLL — historically fails away; 49 GA conceded this season
CONTEXT
·
Getafe slight home favourite despite poor recent form; Osasuna's road record (LLDLL) is disastrous; expect low-scoring affair.
·
Low-scoring expectation: Getafe 31 GF / Osasuna 44 GF suggests defensive, cagey fixture
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
100%
Ante Budimir
AWY · F · 17g/37
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
5
Getafe
3
Draw
2
Osasuna
03 Oct
2-1
16 Mar
1-2
05 Oct
1-1
21 Jan
3-2
17 Sep
3-2
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.