⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Celta Vigo
PROJECTED: 1-1
48%
CONF 44
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
Celta Vigo
28%
Draw
24%
Sevilla
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
40%
31%
30%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
55%
19%
26%
DL
25% WEIGHT
48%
28%
24%
FINAL BLEND
48%
28%
24%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.10 vs 0.90
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
58%
BTTS NO
42%
💎 VALUE BETS
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
SEVILLA FACTORS
+25%
Celta 6th (+4 GD) vs Sevilla 13th (-13 GD), but home form is LWLLL (5 of last 5 home games failed to win)
+20%
Sevilla away form WLLLL shows inconsistency, yet recent 3-match spell WWWL suggests some upswing vs Celta's DLWWL overall slump
+15%
H2H split: Celta 2W-1D-2L in last 5, with 1-0 and 3-2 home wins offset by 0-1 away loss and two 1-0 Sevilla wins
CONTEXT
·
Celta favoured by table position and H2H, but terrible home form (LWLLL) severely undermines edge; expect low-scoring draw.
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
31%
Williot Swedberg
HOM · F · 5g/10
2
25%
Borja Iglesias
HOM · F · 14g/35
3
17%
Chidera Ejuke
AWY · F · 10g/25
4
14%
Akor Adams
AWY · F · 10g/31
5
14%
Ferran Jutglà
HOM · F · 9g/28
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Celta Vigo
4
Draw
3
Sevilla
12 Jan
0-1
10 May
3-2
14 Dec
1-0
17 Mar
1-2
04 Nov
1-1
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.