⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Rayo Vallecano
PROJECTED: 1-1
45%
CONF 52
WIN PROBABILITY
45%
Rayo Valle...
28%
Draw
27%
Villarreal
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
38%
31%
31%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
52%
19%
30%
DL
25% WEIGHT
45%
28%
27%
FINAL BLEND
45%
28%
27%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.07 vs 0.93
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
48%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
54%
BTTS NO
46%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
VILLARREAL FACTORS
+30%
Rayo home edge real but Villarreal's quality gap (3rd place, +24 GD) limits upside; draw likely.
+25%
Villarreal 3rd (69pts, +24 GD) vs Rayo 10th (44pts, -6 GD) — significant quality gap
+20%
Rayo home form WDWDW inconsistent; Villarreal away form LDDWL weak (1W in 5)
+15%
Recent H2H volatile: Rayo 2-0 (2026), Villarreal 4-0 (2025) — context-dependent outcomes
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
38%
Alemão
HOM · F · 4g/9
2
23%
Georges Mikautadze
AWY · F · 12g/31
3
14%
Jorge de Frutos
HOM · M · 10g/34
4
13%
Alberto Moleiro
AWY · M · 10g/35
5
13%
Álvaro García
HOM · 6g/12
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
2
Rayo Valle...
2
Draw
6
Villarreal
01 Nov
4-0
22 Feb
0-1
18 Dec
1-1
28 Apr
3-0
24 Sep
1-1
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.