TOP PICK
Osasuna
PROJECTED: 1-1
48%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
Osasuna
27%
Draw
25%
Espanyol
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
39%
31%
30%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
55%
18%
27%
DL
25% WEIGHT
48%
27%
25%
FINAL BLEND
48%
27%
25%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.09 vs 0.91
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
46%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
51%
BTTS NO
49%
💎 VALUE BETS
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
OSASUNA FACTORS
+30%
Even match at identical points; Osasuna slight home edge but poor home form (LLWDW) offsets. Draw or 1-1 likely.
+25%
Both teams tied on 42 pts with near-identical GD (Osasuna +1 better); quality parity
ESPANYOL FACTORS
+15%
Recent momentum slight to Espanyol (WLLDL recent 5) but both slumping — low-chance low-scoring pattern likely
CONTEXT
·
Osasuna home form weak (LLWDW last 5 at El Sadar) vs Espanyol road form abysmal (LLLDL); neutralizes home advantage
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
100%
Ante Budimir
HOM · F · 17g/36
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
5
Osasuna
4
Draw
1
Espanyol
31 Aug
1-0
18 May
2-0
14 Dec
0-0
04 Feb
1-1
20 Oct
1-0
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.