TOP PICK
Elche
PROJECTED: 1-1
44%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
44%
Elche
30%
Draw
26%
Getafe
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
38%
31%
31%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
51%
21%
28%
DL
25% WEIGHT
44%
30%
26%
FINAL BLEND
44%
30%
26%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.07 vs 0.93
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
42%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
48%
BTTS NO
52%
💎 VALUE BETS
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
·
Elche slight home edge but Getafe's better quality and away resilience keep this competitive; draw is live.
·
Elche home form solid (DWWWD) vs Getafe road struggles (DWLWL) — slight home tilt
·
Getafe +8 pts and 6 places above Elche in table; xG/xGA gaps missing but goal differential favors Getafe (-6 vs -9)
·
Recent form mixed both sides (Elche LDLWW, Getafe WDLLW); low confidence due to missing xG data
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
100%
André Silva
HOM · F · 10g/29
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Elche
3
Draw
4
Getafe
28 Nov
1-0
20 May
1-1
31 Oct
0-1
22 May
3-1
13 Sep
0-1
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.