⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Atletico Madrid
PROJECTED: 2-1
56%
CONF 54
WIN PROBABILITY
56%
Atletico M...
24%
Draw
20%
Girona
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
67%
19%
14%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
65%
14%
21%
DL
25% WEIGHT
56%
24%
20%
FINAL BLEND
56%
24%
20%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
xG 2.14 vs 0.86
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
2-0
0.0%
2
1-0
0.0%
3
2-1
0.0%
4
1-1
0.0%
5
3-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
56%
BTTS NO
44%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
GIRONA FACTORS
+30%
Atletico favoured by quality gap and home record, but Girona's away form resilience keeps this competitive.
+25%
Quality mismatch: Atletico 4th (66 pts, +21 GD) vs Girona 15th (40 pts, -15 GD)
+15%
Girona's away form DLDLD shows defensive discipline; unlikely blowout despite underdog status
CONTEXT
·
Atletico home form LDWDL is mediocre, limiting home-edge confidence despite table position
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
39%
Alexander Sørloth
HOM · F · 6g/14
2
36%
Alexander Sørloth
HOM · F · 13g/33
3
26%
Julián Alvarez
HOM · 10g/15
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
7
Atletico M...
2
Draw
1
Girona
21 Dec
0-3
25 May
0-4
25 Aug
3-0
13 Apr
3-1
03 Jan
4-3
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.