⚡ AI
1-1 · Athletic Club 46%
48
📊 FULL-TIME STATS
24
SHOTS
3
8
ON TARGET
2
58
POSSESSION %
42
5
CORNERS
0
13
FOULS
10
2
YELLOW CARDS
2
2.32
XG
0.15
499
PASSES
380
⚡ KEY EVENTS
4'
⚽
Williot Swedberg
Normal Goal
10'
🟨
Javier Rueda
Yellow Card
38'
🟨
Yuri Berchiche
Yellow Card
42'
🟨
Ionuț Radu
Yellow Card
46'
🔄
Unai Gómez
Substitution
46'
🔄
Javier Rueda
Substitution
52'
⚽
Iñaki Williams
Normal Goal
59'
🔄
Ferran Jutglà
Substitution
⭐ MAN OF THE MATCH
Yuri Berchiche
9.0
RATING
📋 PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH
Athletic Club
9.0
Yuri Berchiche
7.3
Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
7.2
Andoni Gorosabel
Celta Vigo
Ionuț Radu
7.5
Williot Swedberg
7.3
Javi Rodríguez
7.2
🏆 LEAGUE CONTEXT
5
Real Betis
37
57
Real Betis
37
57
6
Celta Vigo
37
51
Celta Vigo
37
51
7
Getafe
37
48
Getafe
37
48
11
Espanyol
37
45
Espanyol
37
45
12
Athletic Club
37
45
Athletic Club
37
45
13
Sevilla
37
43
Sevilla
37
43
💬 COMMENTARY
68'
CARD · Yellow Card
Tripping
42'
CARD · Yellow Card
Delay of game
10'
CARD · Yellow Card
Foul
4'
⚽
Williot Swedberg
Normal Goal
10'
🟨
Javier Rueda
Yellow Card
38'
🟨
Yuri Berchiche
Yellow Card
42'
🟨
Ionuț Radu
Yellow Card
46'
🔄
Unai Gómez
Substitution 1
46'
🔄
Javier Rueda
Substitution 1
52'
⚽
Iñaki Williams
Normal Goal
59'
🔄
Ferran Jutglà
Substitution 2
59'
🔄
Borja Iglesias
Substitution 3
68'
🟨
Aymeric Laporte
Yellow Card
71'
🔄
Mikel Jauregizar
Substitution 2
74'
🔄
Williot Swedberg
Substitution 4
82'
🔄
Gorka Guruzeta
Substitution 3
82'
🔄
Álex Berenguer
Substitution 4
86'
🔄
Iñaki Williams
Substitution 5
90'+1
🔄
Fer López
Substitution 5
24
SHOTS
3
8
ON TARGET
2
58
POSSESSION %
42
2.32
XG
0.15
5
CORNERS
0
13
FOULS
10
2
YELLOW CARDS
2
24
TOTAL SHOTS
3
8
ON TARGET
2
12
OFF TARGET
0
4
BLOCKED
1
18
INSIDE BOX
1
6
OUTSIDE BOX
2
2.32
XG
0.15
499
TOTAL PASSES
380
421
ACCURATE
303
84
ACCURACY %
80
58
POSSESSION %
42
5
CORNERS
0
1
OFFSIDES
4
1
GK SAVES
7
13
FOULS
10
2
YELLOW CARDS
2
0
RED CARDS
0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN
Athletic C...
7 sh
Iñaki Will...
3/6
Yuri Berch...
0/1
Celta Vigo
1 sh
Williot Sw...
1/1
📈 xG RACE
2.32 – 0.15
Athletic Clu...
Celta Vigo
Athletic Club
4-2-3-1
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME · 10 Recent meetings
5
Athletic Clu...
1
D Draws
4
Celta Vigo
RECENT MEETINGS
⚡ AI TOP PICK
Athletic Club
PROJECTED: 1-1
46%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
46%
Athletic C...
28%
Draw
26%
Celta Vigo
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
| MODEL | Athlet... | D | Celta... |
|---|---|---|---|
| POISSON | 39% | 31% | 30% |
| ELO | 53% | 19% | 28% |
| DL | 46% | 28% | 26% |
| FINAL | 46% | 28% | 26% |
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
📊 OVER / UNDER
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
48%
OVER 3.5
—
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
54%
YES
46%
NO
💡 KEY FACTORS
Celta's superior league position and away-road form edge conflict with Athletic's home-venue role; lean slight home edge but expect draw or Celta upset.
Celta 6th (+50pts, +4 GD) vs Athletic 9th (+44pts, -13 GD) — quality gap favours away
Athletic home form poor (LWLWL) while Celta away form decent (WLLLW) — negates home advantage
Bookmaker overweighting home at 43.3%; our 46% suggests marginal value to home, but uncertainty high
OVER / UNDER · GOALS
1.5
10 bk
OVER
1.37
UNDER
2.97
2.5
11 bk
OVER
2.19
UNDER
1.68
3.5
10 bk
OVER
3.82
UNDER
1.24
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
YES
1.86
10 bk
NO
1.87
10 bk
ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25
1.92 7bk
Away -0.5
1.66 7bk
Away -0.75
1.47 7bk
Away -1
1.28 6bk
Away -1.25
1.21 5bk
Away -1.5
1.18 7bk
🏟 STADIUM
San Mamés
Bilbao
REFEREE
Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Spain
⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Isidro Diaz de...
—
ATH... MGR
Ernesto Valver...
head coach
CEL... MGR
Claudio Girald...
head coach
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
Athletic C... · 17 OUT
Yeray Álvare...
· Doping
Unai Eguíluz
· Knee Injury
Aymeric Lapo...
· Muscle Injur...
Beñat Prados
· Knee Injury
+ 13 more
Celta Vigo · 3 OUT
Joseph Aidoo
· Inactive
Sergio Carre...
· Ankle Injury
Mihailo Rist...
· Injury
KICK-OFFSun, 17 May · 17:00
RoundRegular Season - 37
Season2025
🏟
San Mamés
Bilbao