⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Real Sociedad
PROJECTED: 0-1
50%
CONF 72
WIN PROBABILITY
28%
Girona
22%
Draw
50%
Real Socie...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
27%
31%
42%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
31%
12%
58%
DL
25% WEIGHT
28%
22%
50%
FINAL BLEND
28%
22%
50%
PREDICTED SCORE
0 - 1
xG 0.81 vs 1.09
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
0-1
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
1-0
0.0%
5
0-2
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
38%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
35%
BTTS NO
65%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
·
Real Sociedad 1-0 up at HT with superior away form and season quality; Girona's home record poor and attacking depth questioned.
·
Real Sociedad's 28' goal plus Girona 0-shot-on-target first half; likelihood of turnaround low with 45 min remaining
·
Girona home form LLWWL (mixed) vs Real Sociedad away form LDDLL (defensive, but holding lead); away side controlling tempo
·
Season table: Girona 19th (39 pts, -15 GD), Real Sociedad 8th (44 pts, -1 GD) — quality gap material despite recent form slump
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
100%
Mikel Oyarzabal
AWY · F · 15g/32
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
1
Girona
5
Draw
4
Real Socie...
12 Dec
1-2
18 May
3-2
19 Oct
0-1
03 Feb
0-0
12 Aug
1-1
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.