⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Athletic Club
PROJECTED: 1-2
40%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
32%
Espanyol
28%
Draw
40%
Athletic C...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
17%
21%
62%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
36%
19%
46%
DL
25% WEIGHT
32%
28%
40%
FINAL BLEND
32%
28%
40%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 2
xG 0.97 vs 2.03
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
0-2
0.0%
2
0-1
0.0%
3
1-2
0.0%
4
1-1
0.0%
5
0-3
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
51%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
54%
BTTS NO
46%
💎 VALUE BETS
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
ESPANYOL FACTORS
+30%
Away value: Athletic's road form (WLLLD) and league position (9th vs 17th) outweigh Espanyol's home venue; expect low-scoring away win or draw.
+20%
Espanyol home form dire (LDLDD) — only 1 win in last 5 at RCDE; low scoring (38 GF season)
ATHLETIC CLUB FACTORS
+25%
Athletic Club 5pts ahead in table with superior GD (-11 vs -15); quality edge despite poor away form
CONTEXT
·
Both teams' recent form chaotic (no clear momentum); SportMonks model favors away win (40.2%) vs bookmaker-implied (33.9%)
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
100%
Gorka Guruzeta
AWY · F · 9g/31
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
2
Espanyol
3
Draw
5
Athletic C...
22 Dec
1-2
16 Feb
1-1
19 Oct
4-1
08 Apr
1-2
18 Jan
1-0
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.