GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Celta Vigo
Tue, 12 May · 17:00
La Liga
Levante
TOP PICK
Levante
PROJECTED: 2-3
80%
CONF 88
WIN PROBABILITY
8%
Celta Vigo
12%
Draw
80%
Levante
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
17% 15% 68%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
5% 1% 94%
DL 25% WEIGHT
8% 12% 80%
FINAL BLEND
8% 12% 80%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 3
xG 1.71 vs 3.29
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-3
0.0%
2 1-2
0.0%
3 2-3
0.0%
4 1-4
0.0%
5 2-2
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
95%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
98%
BTTS NO
2%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 80% 3.96 +217.1%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 92% 1.89 +73.9%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 95% 1.79 +70.4%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 98% 1.68 +64.4%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 88% 1.26 +10.7%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 12% 3.68 -55.9%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 20% 1.25 -75.0%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 8% 1.89 -84.9%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
LEVANTE FACTORS
+30% Levante leading 3-2 at 90'; match effectively over. Celta's 5-game winless streak and poor home form (WLLLD) broken by Levante's composure.
+25% 90' minute with Levante 1 goal ahead — <2% historical comeback rate
+20% Levante time-wasting (yellow card 90') signals defensive control
+15% Celta home form WLLLD + 5-match overall slump (WWLLL) vs Levante away form LDLDL but momentum-driven hot streak
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Carlos Espí
AWY · F · 9g/22
34%
2
Ferran Jutglà
HOM · F · 9g/28
26%
3
Borja Iglesias
HOM · F · 14g/33
24%
4
Williot Swedberg
HOM · M · 5g/10
16%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
5
Celta Vigo
2
Draw
3
Levante
02 Nov 1-2
21 Feb 1-1
21 Sep 0-2
30 Apr 2-0
26 Oct 1-1
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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