TOP PICK
Sevilla
PROJECTED: 2-1
96%
CONF 88
WIN PROBABILITY
96%
Sevilla
3%
Draw
1%
Espanyol
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
77%
16%
8%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
98%
1%
1%
DL
25% WEIGHT
96%
3%
1%
FINAL BLEND
96%
3%
1%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
xG 2.38 vs 0.62
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
2-0
0.0%
2
1-0
0.0%
3
3-0
0.0%
4
2-1
0.0%
5
1-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
92%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
92%
BTTS NO
8%
💎 VALUE BETS
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
SEVILLA FACTORS
+30%
Sevilla 2-1 up at 90' — match effectively over; lock in home win.
+25%
Sevilla 1-goal lead at 90'+; only seconds remain (ET unlikely in La Liga standard)
+15%
H2H favors Sevilla (3W-0D-1L in last 5); home advantage + scoreline decisive
ESPANYOL FACTORS
+20%
Espanyol trailing with 0 time to mount comeback; defensive desperation cards at 90'
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
24%
Neal Maupay
HOM · F · 0g/1
2
24%
Isaac Romero
HOM · F · 0g/1
3
24%
Roberto Fernández
AWY · F · 0g/1
4
13%
Ruben Vargas
HOM · M · 0g/1
5
13%
Lucien Agoumé
HOM · M · 0g/1
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
6
Sevilla
3
Draw
1
Espanyol
24 Nov
2-1
25 Jan
1-1
25 Oct
0-2
04 May
3-2
10 Sep
2-3
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.