⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Draw
PROJECTED: 1-1
52%
CONF 72
WIN PROBABILITY
28%
Mallorca
52%
Draw
20%
Villarreal
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
36%
31%
33%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
32%
46%
22%
DL
25% WEIGHT
28%
52%
20%
FINAL BLEND
28%
52%
20%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.03 vs 0.97
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
18%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
58%
BTTS NO
42%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
·
Match at 90' tied 1-1 with minimal time left — draw overwhelmingly likely; extra time / penalties to decide.
·
Tied at full-time whistle (90'+5 max) — draw is default outcome
·
Villarreal 3rd/68pts vs Mallorca 16th/38pts, yet equal on the day
·
Low xG combined in match (implied <2.5 total) + yellow-card intensity suggests no late breakthrough
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
64%
Vedat Muriqi
HOM · F · 22g/34
2
25%
Georges Mikautadze
AWY · F · 11g/30
3
11%
Alberto Moleiro
AWY · M · 10g/34
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
2
Mallorca
2
Draw
6
Villarreal
22 Nov
2-1
20 Jan
4-0
14 Sep
1-2
20 Jan
1-1
18 Aug
0-1
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.