TOP PICK
Elche
PROJECTED: 1-0
48%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
Elche
28%
Draw
24%
Alaves
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
42%
31%
27%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
55%
19%
26%
DL
25% WEIGHT
48%
28%
24%
FINAL BLEND
48%
28%
24%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.10 vs 0.80
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
53%
BTTS NO
47%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
33 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
33 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
16 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
33 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
ELCHE FACTORS
+30%
Only 2 minutes in; scoreline will dominate. Elche slight home edge but both teams inconsistent—draw very live.
CONTEXT
·
2' into match—full 88 minutes remain; current 0-0 is baseline, not predictive yet
·
Elche strong at home (WWWDD) vs Alaves poor away (LDWLL)—home edge real but modest
·
Both teams mid-table inconsistent form; recent cards/subs suggest physical/tactical match brewing
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
60%
Toni Martínez
AWY · F · 12g/35
2
22%
Lucas Boyé
AWY · 11g/27
3
18%
André Silva
HOM · 10g/29
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Elche
1
Draw
3
Alaves
05 Oct
3-1
05 Feb
3-1
26 Oct
1-0
11 May
0-2
18 Oct
0-2
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.