⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Athletic Club
PROJECTED: 1-0
52%
CONF 51
WIN PROBABILITY
52%
Athletic C...
27%
Draw
21%
Valencia
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
44%
31%
25%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
60%
18%
22%
DL
25% WEIGHT
52%
27%
21%
FINAL BLEND
52%
27%
21%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.12 vs 0.78
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
44%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
46%
BTTS NO
54%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
VALENCIA FACTORS
+30%
Athletic slight home favourite but Valencia competitive; tight match with draw as realistic outcome.
+25%
Athletic home-form advantage (WLWLW) vs Valencia weak away record (DLWLL)
+15%
Bookmaker odds (55.6% home) slightly inflated vs form data; AI slightly lower due to Valencia's defensive solidity
CONTEXT
·
Nearly identical season GF/GA (40 vs 37 scored, 50 vs 50 conceded) — quality even
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
51%
Gorka Guruzeta
HOM · F · 9g/31
2
49%
Hugo Duro
AWY · F · 9g/32
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
6
Athletic C...
2
Draw
2
Valencia
04 Feb
1-2
20 Sep
2-0
18 May
0-1
28 Aug
1-0
20 Jan
1-0
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.