GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Sevilla
Mon, 04 May · 19:00
La Liga
Real Sociedad
TOP PICK
Sevilla
PROJECTED: 1-0
82%
CONF 88
WIN PROBABILITY
82%
Sevilla
14%
Draw
4%
Real Socie...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
54% 29% 17%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
97% 2% 1%
DL 25% WEIGHT
82% 14% 4%
FINAL BLEND
82% 14% 4%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.31 vs 0.59
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 2-0
0.0%
4 1-1
0.0%
5 0-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
8%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
5%
BTTS NO
95%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 82% 2.43 +99.1%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 96% 1.39 +33.1%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 86% 1.32 +13.8%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 14% 3.28 -54.1%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 18% 1.54 -72.2%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 8% 2.03 -83.8%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 4% 2.99 -88.1%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 5% 1.75 -91.3%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
SEVILLA FACTORS
+30% Sevilla leading 1-0 at 90'; match effectively over. Lock in home win.
+15% Sevilla already making defensive substitutions (90') to secure result
CONTEXT
· 1-goal lead at 90' (full-time imminent) — comeback <5% probability
· Real Sociedad 0 shots on target in final 30 mins; defensive control by Sevilla
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Mikel Oyarzabal
AWY · F · 15g/31
52%
2
Akor Adams
HOM · F · 10g/30
25%
3
Chidera Ejuke
HOM · M · 10g/25
24%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Sevilla
2
Draw
5
Real Socie...
24 Oct 2-1
09 Mar 0-1
03 Nov 0-2
02 Mar 3-2
26 Nov 2-1
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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