TOP PICK
Mallorca
PROJECTED: 0-1
40%
CONF 62
WIN PROBABILITY
28%
Girona
32%
Draw
40%
Mallorca
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
29%
32%
39%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
31%
23%
46%
DL
25% WEIGHT
28%
32%
40%
FINAL BLEND
28%
32%
40%
PREDICTED SCORE
0 - 1
xG 0.85 vs 1.05
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
0-1
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
1-0
0.0%
5
0-2
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
38%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
28%
BTTS NO
72%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
MALLORCA FACTORS
+25%
1-goal lead at 70' — Mallorca has road wins (H2H 2026-01-04, 2025-05-05 losses both at home for opponent)
+15%
Both teams Yellow-heavy (3 cards visible) suggests defensive discipline; Mallorca goal from quality finisher (Kalumba/Muriqi)
CONTEXT
·
Mallorca leading 1-0 with 20 mins left; Girona's poor away/home form and defensive fragility make comeback unlikely.
·
Girona's recent form LLDWL + home form inconsistent (LWWLW); Mallorca road form LLDLL but clutch goal today
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
100%
Vedat Muriqi
AWY · F · 21g/32
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
4
Girona
1
Draw
5
Mallorca
04 Jan
1-2
05 May
1-0
14 Dec
2-1
03 Mar
1-0
24 Jan
3-2
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.