⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Getafe
PROJECTED: 1-1
45%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
45%
Getafe
28%
Draw
27%
Rayo Valle...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
38%
31%
31%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
52%
19%
30%
DL
25% WEIGHT
45%
28%
27%
FINAL BLEND
45%
28%
27%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.07 vs 0.93
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
42%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
48%
BTTS NO
52%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
GETAFE FACTORS
+30%
Tight mid-table clash; bookmaker home-win odds (49.5%) overvalue Getafe given poor away form for Rayo and weak home form.
+25%
Rayo's road form disastrous (LLLWD) vs Getafe's mixed home form (LWWLW) — road weakness key
+20%
Getafe slight edge on table position (7th vs 11th) and xG profile, but marginal quality gap
CONTEXT
·
SportMonks favours away (39.7% vs home 32.5%), conflicting with bookmaker consensus — suggests value in away or draw
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
58%
Alemão
AWY · F · 4g/9
2
22%
Jorge de Frutos
AWY · M · 10g/33
3
20%
Álvaro García
AWY · 6g/12
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
0
Getafe
7
Draw
3
Rayo Valle...
02 Jan
1-1
02 May
1-0
24 Aug
0-0
13 Apr
0-0
02 Jan
0-2
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.