GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Werder Bremen
Sat, 16 May · 13:30
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
TOP PICK
Borussia Dortmund
PROJECTED: 1-2
48%
CONF 62
WIN PROBABILITY
28%
Werder Bre...
24%
Draw
48%
Borussia D...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
16% 20% 64%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
31% 14% 55%
DL 25% WEIGHT
28% 24% 48%
FINAL BLEND
28% 24% 48%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 2
xG 0.92 vs 2.08
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 0-2
0.0%
2 0-1
0.0%
3 1-2
0.0%
4 1-1
0.0%
5 0-3
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
64%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
65%
BTTS NO
35%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 2.08 -0.2%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.33 -4.1%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 24% 3.92 -5.9%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 76% 1.23 -6.2%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 1.77 -7.8%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 64% 1.37 -12.2%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 65% 1.35 -12.6%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 3.11 -12.8%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
· Dortmund's quality gap and away-form resilience override Bremen's slight home edge; expect away win.
· Massive points gap (70 vs 32) and recent form collapse for Bremen (LLDWL)
· Dortmund 2nd-place quality (68 GF, 34 GA) vs 15th-place vulnerability (37 GF, 58 GA)
· Bremen's home form is weak (LWLLW); Dortmund's away form holds up (LLWWL recent pattern shows picks up)
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Serhou Guirassy
AWY · F · 17g/33
52%
2
Maximilian Beier
AWY · F · 9g/32
29%
3
Jens Stage
HOM · M · 10g/29
19%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
1
Werder Bre...
2
Draw
7
Borussia D...
13 Jan 3-0
25 Jan 2-2
31 Aug 0-0
09 Mar 1-2
20 Oct 1-0
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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