GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Union Berlin
Sat, 16 May · 13:30
Bundesliga
FC Augsburg
TOP PICK
Union Berlin
PROJECTED: 1-1
45%
CONF 38
WIN PROBABILITY
45%
Union Berl...
28%
Draw
27%
FC Augsbur...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
38% 31% 31%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
52% 19% 30%
DL 25% WEIGHT
45% 28% 27%
FINAL BLEND
45% 28% 27%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.07 vs 0.93
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
58%
BTTS NO
42%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
33 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 45% 2.60 +17.1%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 73% 1.60 +16.9%
Draw
33 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 3.93 +10.0%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.24 -11.0%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 55% 1.45 -20.3%
Both Teams Score — YES
18 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 58% 1.32 -23.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 1.36 -29.3%
AWAY to Win
33 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 27% 2.36 -36.2%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
· Only 3 minutes in; current 0-0 scoreline shows no momentum yet. Form and quality slightly favour Augsburg on the road, but home advantage keeps Union competitive.
· Match barely started (3'); all pre-match signals dominate — no live momentum yet
· Augsburg better positioned (9th vs 12th) and stronger away form (WWDLL vs Union home DLDLW)
· Union recent form poor (WDLLL overall), though home venue provides baseline edge
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Anton Kade
AWY · F · 0g/1
22%
2
Mert Kömür
AWY · F · 0g/1
22%
3
J. Fletcher
AWY · F · 0g/1
22%
4
Andrej Ilic
HOM · F · 0g/1
22%
5
Yannik Keitel
AWY · M · 0g/1
12%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Union Berl...
4
Draw
3
FC Augsbur...
15 Jan 1-1
17 May 1-2
15 Jan 0-2
12 Apr 2-0
25 Nov 1-1
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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