⚡ AI
2-0 · RB Leipzig 72%
· Over 2.5 62%
68
📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE
▼ RB Leipzig
LAST 30 MIN
▲ FC St. Pauli
📊 FULL-TIME STATS
13
SHOTS
7
5
ON TARGET
3
129
POSSESSION %
47
3
CORNERS
5
5
FOULS
9
2
YELLOW CARDS
0
730
PASSES
299
⚡ KEY EVENTS
19'
🟨
Castello Lukeba
Foul
45'
⚽
Xaver Schlager
1-0
50'
🟨
Christoph Baumgartner
Foul
54'
⚽
2-0
64'
🔄
Fin Stevens
64'
🔄
Hauke Wahl
69'
🔄
Nicolas Seiwald
69'
🔄
Max Finkgräfe
⭐ MAN OF THE MATCH
Willi Orbán
9.0
RATING
📋 PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH
RB Leipzig
9.0
Willi Orbán
7.9
Xaver Schlager
7.3
David Raum
FC St. Pauli
Abdoulie Ceesay
7.3
Joel Chima Fujita
7.0
Jackson Irvine
6.9
🏆 LEAGUE CONTEXT
2
Borussia Dortmund
33
70
Borussia Dortmund
33
70
3
RB Leipzig
33
65
RB Leipzig
33
65
4
VfB Stuttgart
33
61
VfB Stuttgart
33
61
17
1. FC Heidenheim
33
26
1. FC Heidenheim
33
26
18
FC St. Pauli
33
26
FC St. Pauli
33
26
💬 COMMENTARY
90'
SUBST
9th Substitution
89'
SUBST
8th Substitution
89'
SUBST
7th Substitution
86'
GOAL · 2-1
3rd Goal
79'
SUBST
6th Substitution
72'
SUBST
5th Substitution
69'
SUBST
3rd Substitution
69'
SUBST
4th Substitution
64'
SUBST
2nd Substitution
64'
SUBST
1st Substitution
54'
GOAL · 2-0
2nd Goal
50'
CARD · Foul
2nd Yellowcard
19'
🟨
Castello Lukeba
Foul
45'
⚽
Xaver Schlager
1-0
50'
🟨
Christoph Baumgartner
Foul
54'
⚽
2-0
64'
🔄
Fin Stevens
64'
🔄
Hauke Wahl
69'
🔄
Nicolas Seiwald
69'
🔄
Max Finkgräfe
72'
🔄
Abdoulie Ceesay
79'
🔄
Antonio Nusa
86'
⚽
Abdoulie Ceesay
2-1
89'
🔄
Mathias Rasmussen
89'
🔄
Danel Sinani
90'+1
🔄
Benjamin Henrichs
13
SHOTS
7
5
ON TARGET
3
129
POSSESSION %
47
0
XG
0
3
CORNERS
5
5
FOULS
9
2
YELLOW CARDS
0
13
TOTAL SHOTS
7
5
ON TARGET
3
6
OFF TARGET
2
2
BLOCKED
2
0
INSIDE BOX
0
0
OUTSIDE BOX
0
0
XG
0
730
TOTAL PASSES
299
0
ACCURATE
0
648
ACCURACY %
213
129
POSSESSION %
47
3
CORNERS
5
13
OFFSIDES
25
2
GK SAVES
3
5
FOULS
9
2
YELLOW CARDS
0
0
RED CARDS
0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN
RB Leipzig
2 sh
Willi Orbá...
1/1
Xaver Schl...
1/1
FC St. Pau...
1 sh
Abdoulie C...
1/1
RB Leipzig
4-3-3
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME · 8 Recent meetings
3
RB Leipzig
2
D Draws
3
FC St. Pauli
RECENT MEETINGS
⚡ AI TOP PICK
RB Leipzig
PROJECTED: 2-0
72%
CONF 68
WIN PROBABILITY
72%
RB Leipzig
18%
Draw
10%
FC St. Pau...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
| MODEL | RB Lei... | D | FC St.... |
|---|---|---|---|
| POISSON | 74% | 17% | 9% |
| ELO | 84% | 7% | 8% |
| DL | 72% | 18% | 10% |
| FINAL | 72% | 18% | 10% |
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 0
📊 OVER / UNDER
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
62%
OVER 3.5
—
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
48%
YES
52%
NO
💡 KEY FACTORS
Leipzig's 3rd-place quality and dominant home form heavily favoured; St. Pauli's 17th-place form and poor away record offer minimal resistance.
36-point gap (62 vs 26 pts) + 36 GD differential (63-27 GF, 42-55 GA) signals mismatch
Leipzig home form WWWWD vs St. Pauli away form LDLWL — stark contrast
Recent form divergence (Leipzig LWWWW, St. Pauli LLDLD) reinforces home edge
OVER / UNDER · GOALS
1.5
9 bk
OVER
1.11
UNDER
5.82
2.5
10 bk
OVER
1.42
UNDER
2.76
3.5
11 bk
OVER
2.10
UNDER
1.74
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
YES
1.72
10 bk
NO
2.05
10 bk
ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25
4.32 4bk
Away -0.5
3.41 5bk
Away -0.75
3.13 6bk
Away -1
2.80 7bk
Away -1.25
2.29 7bk
Away -1.5
1.99 10bk
🏟 STADIUM
Red Bull Arena
Leipzig
REFEREE
Benjamin Brand, Germany
📺 WHERE TO WATCH
ID
MNC Soccer Channel
MNC Soccer Channel
RCTI+
RCTI+
Vision+
Vision+
MY
Astro Arena 2
Astro Arena 2
Astro Go
Astro Go
beIN Sports Connect Malaysia
beIN Sports Connect Malaysia
beIN Sports Malaysia
beIN Sports Malaysia
sooka
sooka
PH
beIN Sports Connect Philippines
beIN Sports Connect Philippines
RCTI+
RCTI+
SG
beIN Sports Connect Singapore
beIN Sports Connect Singapore
beIN Sports Singapore
beIN Sports Singapore
StarHub TV+
StarHub TV+
TH
AIS PLAY
AIS PLAY
beIN SPORTS CONNECT
beIN SPORTS CONNECT
VN
On Sports+
On Sports+
TV 360
TV 360
VTVcab ON
VTVcab ON
⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Benjamin Brand...
—
RB... MGR
Ole Werner
head coach
FC... MGR
Alexander Bles...
head coach
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
RB Leipzig · 0 OUT
No injuries reported
FC St. Pau... · 0 OUT
No injuries reported
KICK-OFFSat, 09 May · 13:30
RoundRegular Season - 33
Season2025
🏟
Red Bull Arena
Leipzig