⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
FSV Mainz 05
PROJECTED: 1-1
36%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
35%
FC St. Pau...
29%
Draw
36%
FSV Mainz...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
34%
31%
35%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
40%
20%
41%
DL
25% WEIGHT
35%
29%
36%
FINAL BLEND
35%
29%
36%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.00 vs 1.00
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
0-0
0.0%
2
0-1
0.0%
3
1-0
0.0%
4
1-1
0.0%
5
0-2
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
46%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
51%
BTTS NO
49%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
·
Evenly matched struggle; Mainz slight quality edge (table position + away form) offset by St. Pauli home support.
·
St. Pauli 16th (26 pts, -27 GD) vs Mainz 10th (34 pts, -10 GD) — away side structurally stronger
·
St. Pauli home form DLLDW mixed; Mainz away form DLWWD inconsistent — neither dominates
·
Both teams scoring in 51% of scenarios; under 2.5 slightly favoured (54% vs 46%)
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
100%
Nadiem Amiri
AWY · M · 11g/25
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
0
FC St. Pau...
1
Draw
4
FSV Mainz...
21 Dec
0-0
22 Feb
2-0
05 Oct
0-3
14 May
2-1
18 Dec
2-4
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.