⚡ AI
1-2 · Bayern München 63%
· Over 2.5 72%
71
📊 FULL-TIME STATS
18
SHOTS
11
8
ON TARGET
6
30
POSSESSION %
70
2
CORNERS
4
14
FOULS
10
1
YELLOW CARDS
1
2.29
XG
1.97
252
PASSES
618
⚡ KEY EVENTS
15'
⚽
D. Kohr
Normal Goal
20'
🟨
D. Kohr
Yellow Card
29'
⚽
P. Nebel
Normal Goal
33'
🟨
K. Laimer
Yellow Card
45'+2
⚽
S. Becker
Normal Goal
46'
🔄
Aleksandar Pavlović
Substitution
46'
🔄
L. Díaz
Substitution
53'
⚽
N. Jackson
Normal Goal
⭐ MAN OF THE MATCH
M. Olise
8.2
RATING
📋 PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH
FSV Mainz 05
7.7
S. Becker
7.3
P. Tietz
7.3
K. Sano
Bayern München
M. Olise
8.2
N. Jackson
7.7
H. Kane
7.3
🏆 LEAGUE CONTEXT
1
Bayern München
31
82
Bayern München
31
82
2
Borussia Dortmund
31
67
Borussia Dortmund
31
67
9
FC Augsburg
31
37
FC Augsburg
31
37
10
FSV Mainz 05
31
34
FSV Mainz 05
31
34
11
Borussia Mönchengladbach
31
32
Borussia Mönchengladbach
31
32
💬 COMMENTARY
33'
CARD · Yellow Card
Tripping
20'
CARD · Yellow Card
Roughing
15'
⚽
D. Kohr
Normal Goal
20'
🟨
D. Kohr
Yellow Card
29'
⚽
P. Nebel
Normal Goal
33'
🟨
K. Laimer
Yellow Card
45'+2
⚽
S. Becker
Normal Goal
46'
🔄
Aleksandar Pavlović
Substitution 1
46'
🔄
L. Díaz
Substitution 2
53'
⚽
N. Jackson
Normal Goal
57'
🔄
Alphonso Davies
Substitution 3
57'
🔄
Raphael Guerreiro
Substitution 4
71'
🔄
S. Becker
Substitution 1
73'
⚽
M. Olise
Normal Goal
77'
🔄
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye
Substitution 5
79'
🔄
N. Amiri
Substitution 2
80'
🔄
S. Widmer
Substitution 3
80'
⚽
Jamal Musiala
Normal Goal
83'
⚽
H. Kane
Normal Goal
85'
🔄
D. Kohr
Substitution 4
85'
🔄
P. Nebel
Substitution 5
90'+7
🟨
M. Olise
Yellow Card
18
SHOTS
11
8
ON TARGET
6
30
POSSESSION %
70
2.29
XG
1.97
2
CORNERS
4
14
FOULS
10
1
YELLOW CARDS
1
18
TOTAL SHOTS
11
8
ON TARGET
6
7
OFF TARGET
4
3
BLOCKED
1
13
INSIDE BOX
10
5
OUTSIDE BOX
1
2.29
XG
1.97
252
TOTAL PASSES
618
190
ACCURATE
556
75
ACCURACY %
90
30
POSSESSION %
70
2
CORNERS
4
1
OFFSIDES
0
2
GK SAVES
5
14
FOULS
10
1
YELLOW CARDS
1
0
RED CARDS
0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN
FSV Mainz...
11 sh
S. Becker
3/4
N. Amiri
3/4
P. Nebel
1/2
K. Sano
0/1
Bayern Mün...
7 sh
N. Jackson
3/3
Jamal Musi...
1/2
M. Olise
1/1
H. Kane
1/1
📈 xG RACE
2.29 – 1.97
FSV Mainz 05
Bayern Münch...
FSV Mainz 05
3-5-2
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME · 10 Recent meetings
2
FSV Mainz 05
1
D Draws
7
Bayern Münch...
RECENT MEETINGS
⚡ AI TOP PICK
Bayern München
PROJECTED: 1-2
63%
CONF 71
WIN PROBABILITY
18%
FSV Mainz...
19%
Draw
63%
Bayern Mün...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
| MODEL | FSV Ma... | D | Bayern... |
|---|---|---|---|
| POISSON | 13% | 19% | 68% |
| ELO | 18% | 8% | 73% |
| DL | 18% | 19% | 63% |
| FINAL | 18% | 19% | 63% |
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 2
📊 OVER / UNDER
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
72%
OVER 3.5
—
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
68%
YES
32%
NO
💡 KEY FACTORS
Bayern dominant on metrics; recent Mainz home form a trap — market underpricing away win slightly.
Bayern 1st (82pts, +81 GD) vs Mainz 10th (34pts, -10 GD) — massive quality gap
Mainz recent home form LLWWW misleads; Bayern road form LWWWW is strong
H2H last 5 shows Bayern 3W, 1D, 1L but Bayern's 8–1 and 3–0 wins (2024, 2025) dominate pattern
OVER / UNDER · GOALS
1.5
9 bk
OVER
1.08
UNDER
7.21
2.5
10 bk
OVER
1.32
UNDER
3.24
3.5
11 bk
OVER
1.86
UNDER
1.95
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
YES
1.37
10 bk
NO
2.91
10 bk
ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25
1.27 5bk
Away -0.5
1.23 2bk
Away -0.75
1.15 3bk
Away -1
1.05 2bk
Away -1.5
1.04 3bk
Away -2.5
1.01 1bk
🏟 STADIUM
MEWA ARENA
Mainz · 34,034 seats
REFEREE
Martin Petersen, Germany
⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Martin Peterse...
—
FSV... MGR
Urs Fischer
head coach
BAY... MGR
Vincent Kompan...
head coach
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
FSV Mainz... · 0 OUT
No injuries reported
Bayern Mün... · 20 OUT
Alphonso Dav...
· Hamstring In...
Raphael Guer...
· Muscle Injur...
H. Ito
· Muscle Injur...
Jamal Musial...
· Ankle Injury
+ 16 more
KICK-OFFSat, 25 Apr · 13:30
RoundRegular Season - 31
Season2025
SURFACEGrass
CAPACITY34,034
🏟
MEWA ARENA
Mainz · 34,034