⚡ AI
1-2 · Bayern München 63%
· Over 2.5 72%
71
📊 FULL-TIME STATS
18
SHOTS
11
8
ON TARGET
6
30
POSSESSION %
70
2
CORNERS
4
14
FOULS
10
1
YELLOW CARDS
1
2.29
XG
1.97
252
PASSES
618
⚡ KEY EVENTS
15'
⚽
Dominik Kohr
Normal Goal
20'
🟨
Dominik Kohr
Yellow Card
29'
⚽
Paul Nebel
Normal Goal
33'
🟨
K. Laimer
Yellow Card
45'+2
⚽
Sheraldo Becker
Normal Goal
46'
🔄
Aleksandar Pavlović
Substitution
46'
🔄
Luis Díaz
Substitution
53'
⚽
Nicolas Jackson
Normal Goal
⭐ MAN OF THE MATCH
Michael Olise
8.2
RATING
📋 PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH
FSV Mainz 05
7.7
Sheraldo Becker
7.3
Phillip Tietz
7.3
K. Sano
Bayern München
Michael Olise
8.2
Nicolas Jackson
7.7
Harry Kane
7.3
🏆 LEAGUE CONTEXT
1
Bayern München
34
89
Bayern München
34
89
2
Borussia Dortmund
34
73
Borussia Dortmund
34
73
9
FC Augsburg
34
43
FC Augsburg
34
43
10
FSV Mainz 05
34
40
FSV Mainz 05
34
40
11
Union Berlin
34
39
Union Berlin
34
39
💬 COMMENTARY
33'
CARD · Yellow Card
Tripping
20'
CARD · Yellow Card
Roughing
15'
⚽
Dominik Kohr
Normal Goal
20'
🟨
Dominik Kohr
Yellow Card
29'
⚽
Paul Nebel
Normal Goal
33'
🟨
K. Laimer
Yellow Card
45'+2
⚽
Sheraldo Becker
Normal Goal
46'
🔄
Aleksandar Pavlović
Substitution 1
46'
🔄
Luis Díaz
Substitution 2
53'
⚽
Nicolas Jackson
Normal Goal
57'
🔄
Alphonso Davies
Substitution 3
57'
🔄
Raphaël Guerreiro
Substitution 4
71'
🔄
Sheraldo Becker
Substitution 1
73'
⚽
Michael Olise
Normal Goal
77'
🔄
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye
Substitution 5
79'
🔄
Nadiem Amiri
Substitution 2
80'
🔄
Silvan Widmer
Substitution 3
80'
⚽
Jamal Musiala
Normal Goal
83'
⚽
Harry Kane
Normal Goal
85'
🔄
Dominik Kohr
Substitution 4
85'
🔄
Paul Nebel
Substitution 5
90'+7
🟨
Michael Olise
Yellow Card
18
SHOTS
11
8
ON TARGET
6
30
POSSESSION %
70
2.29
XG
1.97
2
CORNERS
4
14
FOULS
10
1
YELLOW CARDS
1
18
TOTAL SHOTS
11
8
ON TARGET
6
7
OFF TARGET
4
3
BLOCKED
1
13
INSIDE BOX
10
5
OUTSIDE BOX
1
2.29
XG
1.97
252
TOTAL PASSES
618
190
ACCURATE
556
75
ACCURACY %
90
30
POSSESSION %
70
2
CORNERS
4
1
OFFSIDES
0
2
GK SAVES
5
14
FOULS
10
1
YELLOW CARDS
1
0
RED CARDS
0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN
FSV Mainz...
11 sh
Sheraldo B...
3/4
Nadiem Ami...
3/4
Paul Nebel
1/2
K. Sano
0/1
Bayern Mün...
7 sh
Nicolas Ja...
3/3
Jamal Musi...
1/2
Michael Ol...
1/1
Harry Kane
1/1
📈 xG RACE
2.29 – 1.97
FSV Mainz 05
Bayern Münch...
FSV Mainz 05
3-5-2
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME · 10 Recent meetings
2
FSV Mainz 05
1
D Draws
7
Bayern Münch...
RECENT MEETINGS
⚡ AI TOP PICK
Bayern München
PROJECTED: 1-2
63%
CONF 71
WIN PROBABILITY
18%
FSV Mainz...
19%
Draw
63%
Bayern Mün...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
| MODEL | FSV Ma... | D | Bayern... |
|---|---|---|---|
| POISSON | 13% | 19% | 68% |
| ELO | 18% | 8% | 73% |
| DL | 18% | 19% | 63% |
| FINAL | 18% | 19% | 63% |
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 2
📊 OVER / UNDER
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
72%
OVER 3.5
—
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
68%
YES
32%
NO
💡 KEY FACTORS
Bayern dominant on metrics; recent Mainz home form a trap — market underpricing away win slightly.
Bayern 1st (82pts, +81 GD) vs Mainz 10th (34pts, -10 GD) — massive quality gap
Mainz recent home form LLWWW misleads; Bayern road form LWWWW is strong
H2H last 5 shows Bayern 3W, 1D, 1L but Bayern's 8–1 and 3–0 wins (2024, 2025) dominate pattern
OVER / UNDER · GOALS
1.5
9 bk
OVER
1.08
UNDER
7.21
2.5
10 bk
OVER
1.32
UNDER
3.24
3.5
11 bk
OVER
1.86
UNDER
1.95
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
YES
1.37
10 bk
NO
2.91
10 bk
ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25
1.27 5bk
Away -0.5
1.23 2bk
Away -0.75
1.15 3bk
Away -1
1.05 2bk
Away -1.5
1.04 3bk
Away -2.5
1.01 1bk
🏟 STADIUM
MEWA ARENA
Mainz · 34,034 seats
REFEREE
Martin Petersen, Germany
⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Martin Peterse...
—
FSV... MGR
Urs Fischer
head coach
BAY... MGR
Vincent Kompan...
head coach
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
FSV Mainz... · 0 OUT
No injuries reported
Bayern Mün... · 20 OUT
Alphonso Dav...
· Hamstring In...
Raphaël Guer...
· Muscle Injur...
Hiroki Itō
· Muscle Injur...
Jamal Musial...
· Ankle Injury
+ 16 more
KICK-OFFSat, 25 Apr · 13:30
RoundRegular Season - 31
Season2025
SURFACEGrass
CAPACITY34,034
🏟
MEWA ARENA
Mainz · 34,034