GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Stade Brestois 29
Sun, 17 May · 19:00
Ligue 1
Angers
TOP PICK
Stade Brestois 29
PROJECTED: 1-1
50%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
50%
Stade Bres...
26%
Draw
24%
Angers
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
40% 31% 29%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
58% 16% 26%
DL 25% WEIGHT
50% 26% 24%
FINAL BLEND
50% 26% 24%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.10 vs 0.90
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
54%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
55%
BTTS NO
45%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 24% 4.12 -1.2%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 54% 1.81 -2.3%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 50% 1.95 -2.4%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 26% 3.67 -4.5%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 55% 1.71 -6.1%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 74% 1.26 -6.4%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 76% 1.22 -7.0%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 50% 1.85 -7.5%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
ANGERS FACTORS
+30% Evenly matched mid-table sides; slight home edge offset by Angers' resilience. Draw or narrow home win likely.
+25% Both teams in poor form (Brest LLLDD, Angers DLLDL) — quality gap minimal
+20% Brest home record mixed (LDLWW) vs Angers away record worse (LLLWL) — marginal home advantage
+15% Goal-heavy season defences (Brest GA 54, Angers GA 47) suggest BTTS/Over 2.5 plausible but not certain
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Ludovic Ajorque
HOM · F · 8g/31
63%
2
Romain Del Castillo
HOM · M · 9g/32
38%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
7
Stade Bres...
1
Draw
2
Angers
28 Sep 0-2
09 Mar 2-0
05 Jan 2-0
06 Jan 1-0
29 Jan 4-0
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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