TOP PICK
Lyon
PROJECTED: 1-2
46%
CONF 58
WIN PROBABILITY
28%
Toulouse
26%
Draw
46%
Lyon
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
16%
20%
64%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
31%
16%
53%
DL
25% WEIGHT
28%
26%
46%
FINAL BLEND
28%
26%
46%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 2
xG 0.93 vs 2.07
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
0-2
0.0%
2
0-1
0.0%
3
1-2
0.0%
4
1-1
0.0%
5
0-3
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
51%
BTTS NO
49%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
LYON FACTORS
+15%
Bookmaker odds (Away 1.88, Home 4.60) align with quality gap; SportMonks slightly favours away (44.4%) — AI agrees Lyon value
CONTEXT
·
Lyon clear away favourite despite mid-table Toulouse; recent form & league gap favour visitors.
·
Lyon 3rd (60 pts) vs Toulouse 10th (41 pts) — 19-point gulf dominates
·
Toulouse home form mixed (DLWLD) fails to offset Lyon's away record (WDDDL); Lyon W-W-W-W-D overall vs Toulouse W-D-L-L-L
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
41%
Yann Gboho
HOM · F · 8g/31
2
33%
Corentin Tolisso
AWY · M · 11g/29
3
26%
Pavel Šulc
AWY · M · 11g/26
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
1
Toulouse
2
Draw
7
Lyon
05 Oct
1-2
18 Jan
0-0
29 Sep
1-2
15 Mar
2-3
10 Dec
3-0
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.