TOP PICK
Auxerre
PROJECTED: 1-1
41%
CONF 44
WIN PROBABILITY
41%
Auxerre
29%
Draw
30%
Nice
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
37%
31%
32%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
47%
20%
33%
DL
25% WEIGHT
41%
29%
30%
FINAL BLEND
41%
29%
30%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.04 vs 0.96
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
48%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
54%
BTTS NO
46%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
·
Evenly matched relegation battle; draw most likely outcome with both teams capable of scoring.
·
Both teams in bottom half (Nice 15th, Auxerre 16th) with fragile form — DDWDD vs WLDDD
·
Home-form split favours Auxerre (WDWDL) vs Nice away (DWDLW), but both are inconsistent
·
Bookmaker odds imply home 40% (we: 41%) — minimal disagreement; draw underpriced at 28.6%
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
100%
Lassine Sinayoko
HOM · F · 10g/31
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
2
Auxerre
4
Draw
4
Nice
23 Aug
3-1
14 Mar
1-1
18 Aug
2-1
06 Jan
0-0
03 Mar
1-1
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.