GOALSENSE
📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE
▼ Bristol City LAST 30 MIN ▲ Stoke City
📊 FULL-TIME STATS
13 SHOTS 17
5 ON TARGET 2
56 POSSESSION % 101
2 CORNERS 15
7 FOULS 13
1 YELLOW CARDS 3
398 PASSES 452
⚡ KEY EVENTS
1' Delano Burgzorg 1-0
35' 🟨 Argument
46' 🔄 Tatsuki Seko
59' 🔄 Sam Gallagher
59' 🔄 Jesurun Rak-Sakyi
60' 🟨 Junior Tchamadeu Argument
63' 🟨 Ross McCrorie Foul
71' 🔄 Syd Agina
⭐ MAN OF THE MATCH
Sam Bell
7.9
RATING
📋 PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH
Bristol City
7.9 Sam Bell
7.6 Neto Borges
7.6 Radek Vitek
Stoke City
Steven​ N'Zonzi 7.2
Tatsuki Seko 6.9
Lamine Cissé 6.7
🏆 LEAGUE CONTEXT
11 Swansea 46 64
12 Bristol City 46 62
13 Sheffield Utd 46 60
16 Watford 46 57
17 Stoke City 46 55
18 Portsmouth 46 55
💬 COMMENTARY
90'
CARD · Simulation
4th Yellowcard
88'
GOAL · 2-0
2nd Goal
87'
SUBST
8th Substitution
84'
SUBST
7th Substitution
81'
SUBST
6th Substitution
74'
SUBST
5th Substitution
71'
SUBST
4th Substitution
63'
CARD · Foul
3rd Yellowcard
60'
CARD · Argument
2nd Yellowcard
59'
SUBST
3rd Substitution
59'
SUBST
2nd Substitution
46'
SUBST
1st Substitution
1'
Delano Burgzorg
1-0
35' 🟨
Argument
46' 🔄
Tatsuki Seko
59' 🔄
Sam Gallagher
59' 🔄
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi
60' 🟨
Junior Tchamadeu
Argument
63' 🟨
Ross McCrorie
Foul
71' 🔄
Syd Agina
74' 🔄
Mark Sykes
81' 🔄
Sam Bell
84' 🔄
Emil Riis
87' 🔄
Milan Smit
88'
Sam Bell
2-0
90'+5 🟨
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi
Simulation
13 SHOTS 17
5 ON TARGET 2
56 POSSESSION % 101
0 XG 0
2 CORNERS 15
7 FOULS 13
1 YELLOW CARDS 3
13 TOTAL SHOTS 17
5 ON TARGET 2
7 OFF TARGET 5
1 BLOCKED 10
0 INSIDE BOX 0
0 OUTSIDE BOX 0
0 XG 0
398 TOTAL PASSES 452
0 ACCURATE 0
321 ACCURACY % 392
56 POSSESSION % 101
2 CORNERS 15
16 OFFSIDES 11
2 GK SAVES 3
7 FOULS 13
1 YELLOW CARDS 3
0 RED CARDS 0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN
Bristol Ci... 4 sh
Rob Dickie 0/2
Sam Bell 1/1
Delano Bur... 1/1
Stoke City 2 sh
Steven​ N'... 1/1
Sorba Thom... 0/1
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME · 10 Recent meetings
4
Bristol City
1
D Draws
5
Stoke City
⚡ AI TOP PICK
Bristol City
PROJECTED: 1-1
48%
CONF 46
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
Bristol Ci...
27%
Draw
25%
Stoke City
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
MODEL Bristo... D Stoke...
POISSON 39% 31% 30%
ELO 55% 18% 27%
DL 48% 27% 25%
FINAL 48% 27% 25%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
📊 OVER / UNDER
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
56%
YES
44%
NO
💡 KEY FACTORS
Both teams in poor form; draw is live despite bookmaker home bias. Avoid overcommitting.
Bristol City home form dire (LWLLL) — only 1W in last 5 at Ashton Gate
Stoke City road form catastrophic (LLLLL) — 5-match losing streak away
Season quality nearly identical (GF 57 vs 51, GA 59 vs 54); mid-table stalemate likely
OVER / UNDER · GOALS
1.5
OVER
1.18
UNDER
4.50
9 bk
2.5
OVER
1.61
UNDER
2.26
9 bk
3.5
OVER
2.49
UNDER
1.49
9 bk
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
YES
1.52
9 bk
NO
2.39
9 bk
ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.13 7bk
Away -0.5 1.86 7bk
Away -0.75 1.64 6bk
Away -1 1.43 6bk
Away -1.25 1.35 6bk
Away -1.5 1.28 7bk
🏟 STADIUM
Ashton Gate Stadium
Bristol · 27,000 seats
REFEREE
Ben Toner, England
⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Ben Toner, Eng...
BRI... MGR
Roy Hodgson
head coach
STO... MGR
Mark Robins
head coach
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
Bristol Ci... · 20 OUT
Max O'Leary · Ankle Injury
J. Williams · Hamstring In...
Rob Dickie · Hamstring In...
M. Bird · Injury
+ 16 more
Stoke City · 0 OUT

No injuries reported

KICK-OFFSat, 02 May · 11:30
RoundRegular Season - 46
Season2025
SURFACEGrass
CAPACITY27,000
🏟
Ashton Gate Stadium
Bristol · 27,000